Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#95 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2024; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 4 sets to Townsend's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 21/35 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 1, Townsend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | +3.3% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | -0.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Townsend's 20%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 26 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 16 26 | L 16 62 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 36 61 26 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Marie Bouzkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Martina Trevisan
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–49 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 50% |
| Sets won | 71% | 53% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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