Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#89 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
4w3Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2024; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 4 sets to Townsend's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 1, Townsend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -11.8% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | +2.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | UKR | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Townsend's 25%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 63 60 | W 67 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 46 36 |
| Storm Hunter | W 64 61 | L 67 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 26 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 16 26 | L 16 62 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 36 61 26 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 63% |
| Sets won | 72% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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