Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Marta Kostyuk and Sofia Kenin have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 3 sets to Kenin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 272 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | -11.8% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | UKR | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kenin's 10%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 64 | L 06 36 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 64 26 57 | L 46 06 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 63 62 | L 67 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 61 64 | L 36 16 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 46 61 | L 06 57 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 63 63 | L 63 16 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 63 | L 26 64 67 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 64 63 | L 26 64 36 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 76 67 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 27% |
| Sets won | 72% | 35% |
| Games won | 59% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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