Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Marta Kostyuk and Sofia Kenin have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 3 sets to Kenin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 27/37 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 21/34 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 229 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sofia Kenin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +3.3% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Kenin's 29%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | W 62 46 61 | L 06 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 36 06 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 64 | W 76 64 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 63 63 | L 63 16 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 63 | L 26 64 67 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 64 63 | L 26 64 36 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 76 67 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–48 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 33% |
| Sets won | 71% | 38% |
| Games won | 59% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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