Marta Kostyuk vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
6wMarta Kostyuk and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 1, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -11.8% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | UKR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kessler's 30%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 64 26 57 | W 76 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 57 75 46 | L 75 36 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 63 62 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 46 60 62 | L 16 76 16 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 46 63 75 | W 61 60 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 61 | L 36 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 16 67 |
| Katie Volynets | W 67 63 63 | L 36 36 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 62 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 49% |
| Sets won | 72% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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