Marta Kostyuk vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Marta Kostyuk and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2024; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 21/35 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 1, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +3.3% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | -4.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kessler's 11%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | W 46 60 62 | L 16 76 16 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 46 63 75 | W 61 60 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 61 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 46 | L 75 36 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 16 67 |
| Katie Volynets | W 67 63 63 | L 36 36 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 63 | L 16 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 61 64 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–49 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 48% |
| Sets won | 71% | 49% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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