Mariano Navone vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2024; Mariano Navone leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Navone leads 2–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 5 sets to Borges's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 2, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +17.3% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.59u | -1.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Navone's 30%).
| Opponent | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | W 76 57 46 62 61 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 46 36 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 63 36 57 | L 46 16 26 |
| James Duckworth | L 36 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 57 | W 63 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 16 63 63 | L 57 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 60 63 | W 64 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | L 16 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 48% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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