Mariano Navone vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2024; Mariano Navone leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Navone leads 2–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 5 sets to Borges's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 2, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Navone's 30%).
| Opponent | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | L 36 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 57 | W 63 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 16 63 63 | L 57 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 60 63 | W 64 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 46 | L 16 64 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 76 76 | L 36 63 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 63 36 57 | L 67 46 26 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 64 36 46 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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