Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 30 · 7:15 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 5.97 or longer, Mariano Navone has won 1 of 12 matches, 8% against a fair-price expectation of 13%.
Priced around 1.13 or shorter, Novak Djokovic has won 235 of 250 matches, 94% against a fair-price expectation of 91%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Navone and Djokovic have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Djokovic's 86%).
| Opponent | Navone | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 16 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 60 63 | W 63 63 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 76 76 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 76 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Jaume Munar | W 62 62 | W 63 57 62 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 76 75 | W 63 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–62 matches
| Metric | Navone | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 74% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |