Maria Sakkari vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 3 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.61 or shorter, Maria Sakkari has won 106 of 172 matches, 62% against a fair-price expectation of 65%.
Priced around 2.31 or longer, Yuliia Starodubtseva has won 10 of 18 matches, 56% against a fair-price expectation of 33%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Maria Sakkari meets Yuliia Starodubtseva in the 2nd Round of the U.S. Open on September 3rd on hard court. The Greek player is ranked 35th and comes in off a first-round victory. Starodubtseva, ranked 58th, also won her opening match after an active week on tour.
The two have never faced each other in competition. Sakkari has won 7 of her last 10 matches and carries a one-match winning streak into this fixture. Starodubtseva has gone 3-2 in her last five matches but shows a steeper dip over her last 10, with three wins against seven losses in that span.
Sakkari's game rests on serve and aggression from the baseline; she holds a 65% win rate on hard courts in recent play. Starodubtseva responds best when she controls the tempo early in points but has struggled with consistency on the surface, posting a 35% record in recent hard-court matches. The contest asks whether Sakkari can maintain her serving presence and dictate rallies, or if Starodubtseva can sustain her pressure through a full two or three sets.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Starodubtseva
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 684 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sakkari and Starodubtseva have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | -3.23u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 979 mi · 1,576 km | 3,134 mi · 5,043 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → NED | POL → AUT → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Starodubtseva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sakkari's 50%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Lilli Tagger | W 57 63 60 | W 63 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | W 36 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Ella Seidel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sloane Stephens
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Blinkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–58 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |