Maria Sakkari vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wMaria Sakkari and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2023; Maria Sakkari leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz in 2023 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 7 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 3, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 10, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 8, 2023
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | - |
| ROI % | -8.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Gracheva's 33%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 57 26 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 57 63 60 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–43 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 38% |
| Sets won | 47% | 36% |
| Games won | 49% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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