Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleMaria Sakkari and Tatjana Maria have met 5 times since 2022; Maria Sakkari leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–0. On grass courts Maria leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 6 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 16/24 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 2, Maria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 9, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 29, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -16.5% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.47u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sakkari's 50%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | L 16 64 26 | W 60 63 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 64 61 | W 60 61 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 57 61 | W 64 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 76 57 06 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.