Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Maria Sakkari and Tatjana Maria have met 5 times since 2022; Maria Sakkari leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–0. On grass courts Maria leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 6 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 2, Maria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 9, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 29, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sakkari's 50%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 57 61 | W 64 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 76 57 06 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 26 06 | W 64 63 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–60 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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