Maria Sakkari vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#133 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4w4Maria Sakkari and Sloane Stephens have met 2 times since 2022; Maria Sakkari leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2022 on hard. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 4 sets to Stephens's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 16/24 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 1, Stephens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 679 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Sakkari.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.98 |
| ROI % | -16.5% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.47u | +3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stephens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakkari's 25%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Peyton Stearns | L 36 16 | L 67 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 61 67 26 | W 64 57 62 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
| Harriet Dart | W 61 62 | W 36 60 62 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 36 36 | W 16 76 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | L 67 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Janice Tjen
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Carole Monnet
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Clara Tauson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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