Maria Sakkari vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¬π·Maria Sakkari
#33 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 4β1

πΊπΈSloane Stephens
#208 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4Maria Sakkari and Sloane Stephens have met 2 times since 2022; Maria Sakkari leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2022 on hard. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 4 sets to Stephens's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 1, Stephens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
π€ Servebot
Stephens
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs βοΈ Grinder across 440 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Sakkari.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β6 | 5β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 1,730 mi Β· 2,784 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | ECU β CAN β POL β ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Stephens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Sakkari's 0%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 36 36 | W 16 76 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | L 67 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens Β· Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 25β43 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 28% |
| Sets won | 47% | 33% |
| Games won | 49% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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