Marek Gengel vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟMarek Gengel
#382 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
34 meetings ยท sets 4โ6

๐ฏ๐ตRio Noguchi
#218 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5wMarek Gengel and Rio Noguchi have met 4 times since 2022; Rio Noguchi leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Noguchi leads 3โ1. Noguchi has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Noguchi leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Gengel has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Nonthaburi 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gengel | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marek Gengel | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 28/43 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/63 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 22/39 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 10/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 37/42 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 28/42 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gengel 1, Noguchi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gengel
๐ The Complete Package
Noguchi
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 219 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marek Gengel.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2026
Nonthaburi 2 Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2026
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard ยท Final
Feb 27, 2023
Pune Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Nov 2, 2022
Sydney Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ1 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 4.70 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | CZE | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Gengel and Noguchi posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | L 46 63 57 | W 62 75 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 64 75 | W 57 76 63 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 61 61 | W 64 16 64 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Sergey Fomin | W 63 61 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Bautista Torres
Prague Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Mika Lipp
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Milos Karol
Unicredit Czech Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Dusan Obradovic
Unicredit Czech Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Karl Poling
M25 Louny ยท 1st Round
May 13
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh ยท Semifinals
Apr 25
Vadym Ursu
M25 Sharm ElSheikh ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 24
Alessandro Pecci
M25 Sharm ElSheikh ยท 2nd Round
Apr 23
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ63 matches
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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