Marek Gengel vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marek Gengel and Rio Noguchi have met 4 times since 2022; Rio Noguchi leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Noguchi leads 3–1. Noguchi has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Noguchi leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gengel has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Nonthaburi 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gengel | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marek Gengel | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 36/40 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 28/40 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gengel 1, Noguchi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gengel
👑 The Complete Package
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marek Gengel.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2026
Nonthaburi 2 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2026
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard · Final
Feb 27, 2023
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2022
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gengel | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marek Gengel | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.32 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.00u | -5.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | FRA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Gengel and Noguchi posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W | L 36 36 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | L 46 63 57 | W 62 75 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 64 75 | W 57 76 63 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Juan Bautista Torres
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Mika Lipp
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Milos Karol
Unicredit Czech Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Dusan Obradovic
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–67 matches
| Metric | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 64% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gengel | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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