Madison Keys vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#20 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6w4 meetings Β· sets 5β4

π°πΏYulia Putintseva
#79 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3Madison Keys and Yulia Putintseva have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Putintseva leads 2β1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 5 sets to Putintseva's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yulia Putintseva won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Putintseva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Putintseva
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 1, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 21, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β4 | 5β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 1 |
| Matches | β | 2 |
| Distance | β | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | β | CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Putintseva's 60%).
| Opponent | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | W 61 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | W |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 61 67 57 | L 46 62 16 |
| Alina Korneeva | W 75 64 | W 76 46 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 46 75 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | L 67 75 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 16 | L 16 36 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 61 62 | W 64 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 61 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Belinda Bencic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Maya Joint
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Victoria Rodriguez
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 50β56 matches
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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