Madison Keys vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 5β4

π°πΏYulia Putintseva
#80 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3Madison Keys and Yulia Putintseva have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Putintseva leads 2β1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 5 sets to Putintseva's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yulia Putintseva won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 92% | 22/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Putintseva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Putintseva
πΉ Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs πΉ Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 1, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 21, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β5 | 6β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | -4.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Putintseva's 30%).
| Opponent | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | L 67 75 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 16 | L 16 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 46 64 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 61 | W 61 61 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 46 64 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 67 | L 64 46 57 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 16 62 63 | L 46 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | L 36 26 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 63 | W 61 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Elina Avanesyan
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mona Barthel
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Mayar Sherif
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alina Charaeva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Claire Liu
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Chi Fan Liu
Iasi WTA Β· Round of 32
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 52% |
| Sets won | 65% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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