Madison Keys vs Xiyu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇳Xiyu Wang
#82 · 25 yrs · Left-Handed
Madison Keys and Xiyu Wang have met 2 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2023 on grass. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 17% | 7/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 90% | 27/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 28, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Keys and Wang posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | W 46 64 62 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 63 46 67 | L 36 64 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 63 06 | L 57 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 16 62 63 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Ena Koike
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Leylah Fernandez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sara Bejlek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Caty Mcnally
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mayar Sherif
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · Final
Jun 21
Anastasiia Sobolieva
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 74% |
| Sets won | 65% | 71% |
| Games won | 56% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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