Madison Keys vs Xiyu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇳Xiyu Wang
#91 · 25 yrs · Left-Handed
6wMadison Keys and Xiyu Wang have met 2 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2023 on grass. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 15% | 7/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 97% | 34/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 91% | 32/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 28, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -13.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Keys and Wang posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 26 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | W 46 64 62 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 63 46 67 | L 36 64 57 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 63 06 | L 57 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 16 62 63 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Ena Koike
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Leylah Fernandez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Maria Timofeeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Polina Kudermetova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Bianca Andreescu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 77% |
| Sets won | 65% | 74% |
| Games won | 56% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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