Madison Keys vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#21 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇨🇳Xin Yu Wang
#39 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3Madison Keys and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 6 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Strasbourg (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 3, Yu Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,882 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2024
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 20, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -38.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Wang's 43%).
| Opponent | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 76 64 | L 26 06 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | L 36 26 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | W 61 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | W 75 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | L 67 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 62 63 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 76 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Xiyu Wang
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joanna Garland
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Donna Vekic
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 47% |
| Sets won | 65% | 47% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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