Madison Keys vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇨🇳Xin Yu Wang
#43 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
15wMadison Keys and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2023; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 6 sets to Wang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Strasbourg (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 3, Yu Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,911 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2024
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 20, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | - |
| ROI % | -7.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.49u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 567 mi · 913 km | — |
| Route | POL → NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Wang's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | W 75 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | L 67 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 62 63 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 76 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Lois Boisson
Strasbourg · Round of 32
May 19
Alexandra Eala
Rome · Round of 64
May 7
Laura Samson
Madrid · Round of 64
Apr 23
Chloe Paquet
Rouen · Round of 32
Apr 15
Caty Mcnally
Miami · Round of 64
Mar 19
Ajla Tomljanovic
Indian Wells · Round of 64
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 43% |
| Sets won | 65% | 43% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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