Madison Keys vs Venus WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w5 meetings · sets 9–4
🇺🇸Venus Williams
#596 · 45 yrs · Right-Handed
6wMadison Keys and Venus Williams have met 5 times since 2015; Madison Keys leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 4–1. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 9 sets to Williams's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Venus Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Williams 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Williams
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 28, 2016
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 4, 2015
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 23, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 4.97 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Williams's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 46 36 |
| Diane Parry | L | L 36 76 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Anastasia Potapova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Irina Camelia Begu
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 21
Francesca Jones
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Diane Parry
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 0% |
| Sets won | 65% | 14% |
| Games won | 56% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
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