Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga RajaonahPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
#172 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
10wMadison Keys and Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Rajaonah's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Trophee Clarins - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 50% | 6/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Rajaonah
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 14, 2026
Trophee Clarins - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +102.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | +1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Rajaonah's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 46 63 63 | L 36 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | L 36 16 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | L 26 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Mayar Sherif
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Mia Ristic
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Yuliana Lizarazo
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 15
Noma Noha Akugue
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 1st Round
Jun 8
Amanda Anisimova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Madison Keys
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 2nd Round
May 14
Renata Zarazua
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 11
Alice Tubello
Istanbul Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
May 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 41% |
| Sets won | 65% | 41% |
| Games won | 56% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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