Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga RajaonahPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
#382 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
16w4Madison Keys and Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Rajaonah's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Trophee Clarins - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 22% | 2/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Rajaonah
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 14, 2026
Trophee Clarins - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | - |
| ROI % | -24.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Rajaonah's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 46 63 63 | L 36 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | L 36 16 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | L 26 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Lin Zhu
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Mayar Sherif
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Mia Ristic
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Yuliana Lizarazo
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 15
Noma Noha Akugue
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 1st Round
Jun 8
Chloe Paquet
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Amanda Anisimova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 32% |
| Sets won | 65% | 34% |
| Games won | 56% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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