Madison Keys vs Tereza ValentovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Madison Keys and Tereza Valentova have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Valentova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Valentova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Tereza Valentova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 30% | 13/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Valentova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Valentova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Tereza Valentova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Valentova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Tereza Valentova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | -3.40u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Valentova's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 46 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 36 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 75 | L 16 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 63 06 | L 67 67 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Katie Volynets
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Final
Aug 29
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Semifinals
Aug 28
Kylie Collins
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Fangran Tian
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Ariana Arseneault
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Elina Svitolina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Mary Stoiana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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