Madison Keys vs Tereza MartincovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇿Tereza Martincova
#318 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
10wMadison Keys and Tereza Martincova have met 2 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Martincova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Martincova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Tereza Martincova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 20% | 6/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Martincova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Martincova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2022
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Martincova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Tereza Martincova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Martincova's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Swan | W 61 64 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Sinja Kraus
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Katie Swan
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Kayla Cross
Ilkley WTA
Jun 8
Brooke Black
Ilkley WTA
Jun 7
Rebeka Masarova
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 1st Round
Jun 2
Mingge Xu
Birmingham
May 31
Victoria Allen
Birmingham
May 30
Camila Osorio
Rabat · Round of 32
May 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 58% |
| Sets won | 65% | 58% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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