Madison Keys vs Tereza MartincovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇿Tereza Martincova
#316 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
16wMadison Keys and Tereza Martincova have met 2 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Martincova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Martincova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Tereza Martincova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 18% | 7/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 85% | 22/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Martincova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Martincova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2022
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | - |
| ROI % | -24.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Martincova's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Swan | W 61 64 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Sinja Kraus
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Katie Swan
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Kayla Cross
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Brooke Black
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Rebeka Masarova
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 1st Round
Jun 2
Mingge Xu
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 31
Victoria Allen
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 1st Round Qualifying
May 30
Camila Osorio
Rabat · Round of 32
May 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 67% |
| Sets won | 65% | 65% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Martincova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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