🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#54 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2015; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Queen's Club (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,362 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 12–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | -2.50u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maria's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | L 67 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | L 57 76 67 |
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–40 matches
| Metric | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 28% |
| Sets won | 60% | 33% |
| Games won | 53% | 45% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
