Madison Keys vs Talia GibsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇺Talia Gibson
#61 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Talia Gibson have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Gibson's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Talia Gibson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 69% | 25/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 61% | 25/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Gibson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Gibson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 23, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Talia Gibson | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -31.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | -3.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Gibson's 22%).
| Opponent | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 63 46 67 | W 61 60 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 26 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 06 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 26 64 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 57 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 64 26 46 | W 63 76 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 61 | L 26 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 63 06 | L 75 16 16 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 57 75 | L 76 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Lizette Cabrera
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Lilli Tagger
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maja Chwalinska
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–64 matches
| Metric | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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