Madison Keys vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#123 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
25wMadison Keys and Sonay Kartal have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. Across all meetings Keys has taken 3 sets to Kartal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sonay Kartal won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Kartal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Sonay Kartal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Keys and Kartal posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 63 46 67 | L 06 26 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Magda Linette
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Sara Bejlek
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · Quarterfinals
Feb 5
Renata Zarazua
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 2nd Round
Feb 4
Cristina Bucsa
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 2
Anna Kalinskaya
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 65% |
| Sets won | 65% | 63% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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