Madison Keys vs Simona HalepPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 3β9
π·π΄Simona Halep
Unranked Β· 34 yrs Β· Right-Handed
82wMadison Keys and Simona Halep have met 5 times since 2016; Simona Halep leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2016 on grass. On hard courts Halep leads 3β1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Halep leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 3 sets to Halep's 9. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Halep | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Simona Halep | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Halep 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Halep
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Oct 26, 2016
Singapore
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Sep 30, 2016
Wuhan
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31, 2016
Montreal
H Hard Β· Final
Jun 30, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Halep |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Halep |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Lucia Bronzetti
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca Β· 1st Round
Feb 4
Yue Yuan
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Β· 1st Round
Oct 28
Anna Blinkova
Hong Kong 125 Open - Hong Kong Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Arina Rodionova
Hong Kong 125 Open - Hong Kong Β· 1st Round
Oct 2
Paula Badosa
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Potapova
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 16
Beatriz Haddad Maia
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Final
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Halep |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Halep |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Halep |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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