Madison Keys vs Sara Sorribes TormoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇪🇸Sara Sorribes Tormo
#202 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4wMadison Keys and Sara Sorribes Tormo have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Madrid in 2018 on clay. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Tormo's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at China Open - Beijing (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Sorribes Tormo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Sara Sorribes Tormo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Sorribes Tormo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Tormo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 9, 2018
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Tormo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Sara Sorribes Tormo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -17.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | -1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Tormo's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W 61 62 | W 16 63 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | L 57 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 67 | L 67 16 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 64 61 | W 60 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Lucia Bronzetti
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 27
Alina Charaeva
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Anna Bondar
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Jessica Pegula
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maria Timofeeva
Makarska Open - Makarska · Semifinals
Jun 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 54% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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