Madison Keys vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇨🇿Sara Bejlek
#30 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
3Madison Keys and Sara Bejlek have met 1 time since 2026; Sara Bejlek leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 1 sets to Bejlek's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sara Bejlek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 11% | 2/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 18% | 9/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Bejlek 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Bejlek
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Sara Bejlek | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +6.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | — | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Keys and Bejlek posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 76 64 | W 63 46 75 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | W 76 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | W 60 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 06 36 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | L 16 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 67 26 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | W 60 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maddison Inglis
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Cristina Bucsa
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–51 matches
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 63% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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