Madison Keys vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇨🇿Sara Bejlek
#29 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
3Madison Keys and Sara Bejlek have met 1 time since 2026; Sara Bejlek leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 1 sets to Bejlek's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sara Bejlek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 21% | 4/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 26% | 14/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 97% | 32/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Bejlek 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Bejlek
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Sara Bejlek | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +40.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | +7.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Keys and Bejlek posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 76 64 | W 63 46 75 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | W 76 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | W 60 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 06 36 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | L 16 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 67 26 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | W 60 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Barbora Krejcikova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Karolina Pliskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Xiyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–54 matches
| Metric | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 65% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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