Madison Keys vs Petra MarticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 6β4
ππ·Petra Martic
Unranked Β· 35 yrs Β· Right-Handed
61wMadison Keys and Petra Martic have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2017 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 6 sets to Martic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Martic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Petra Martic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Martic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Martic
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 1, 2022
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 24, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard Β· Round Robin
May 31, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Makarska Open - Makarska Β· 2nd Round
Jun 5
Margaux Rouvroy
Makarska Open - Makarska Β· 1st Round
Jun 4
Amanda Anisimova
Trophee Clarins - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 15
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Trophee Clarins - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 12
Ayla Aksu
Megasaray Hotels Open 3 - Antalya Β· 1st Round
Apr 2
Sara Bejlek
Megasaray Hotels Open 2 - Antalya Β· 1st Round
Mar 26
Emma Navarro
Merida Open Akron - Merida Β· 2nd Round
Feb 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Martic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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