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Head-to-Head

Madison Keys vs Petra MarcinkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

6w
1–0

1 meeting

Petra Marcinko

🇭🇷Petra Marcinko

#78 · 20 yrs

6w

Madison Keys and Petra Marcinko have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorKeysMarcinko
Wins in straight sets74%63%
Wins a set when losing56%37%
Goes to a deciding set36%37%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite57%41%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog38%43%
Tiebreak sets won46%71%
Wins after taking set 181%82%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%59%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Marcinko

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

1 career meeting, newest first

Jun 26, 2026

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne

G Grass · Semifinals

Keys

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricKeysMarcinko
W-L6–40–4
Avg odds1.401.77
ROI %-24.8%-100.0%
Units P/L-2.48u-4.00u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Marcinko's 44%).

OpponentKeysMarcinko
Daria Snigur
W
46
63
63
L
46
26
Antonia Ruzic
W
61
62
W
76
46
76
Tatjana Maria
W
75
64
W
63
75
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
W
60
61
W
63
64
Nikola Bartunkova
L
36
61
46
W
63
76
Peyton Stearns
W
46
64
62
L
26
57
Oleksandra Oliynykova
W
76
61
L
16
36
Belinda Bencic
W
46
63
62
L
46
26
Donna Vekic
W
62
63
L
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Marcinko
LLLLWWLL
L

Kimberly Birrell

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
647
36

Aug 31

L

Alycia Parks

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round

62
46
46

Aug 25

L

Simona Waltert

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

75
46
26

Aug 13

L

Tamara Zidansek

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals

36
57

Jul 17

W

Elina Avanesyan

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round

763
765

Jul 15

W

Nadia Podoroska

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round

62
36
64

Jul 13

L

Clara Burel

Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round

763
06
26

Jul 7

L

Sofia Kenin

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

647
46

Jun 30

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches

MetricKeysMarcinko
Matches won68%60%
Sets won65%57%
Games won56%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageKeysMarcinko
WTA 25010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceKeysMarcinko
Grass10

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Madison Keys vs Petra Marcinko FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 1–0 over 1 meetings.