Madison Keys vs Petra KvitovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
8 meetings Β· sets 11β10
π¨πΏPetra Kvitova
Unranked Β· 36 yrs Β· Left-Handed
53wMadison Keys and Petra Kvitova have met 8 times since 2015; they are level 4β4. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Kvitova leads 4β3. Kvitova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 11 sets to Kvitova's 10. Their most recent meeting: Petra Kvitova won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Kvitova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Petra Kvitova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Kvitova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Kvitova
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Aug 16, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 11, 2020
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Oct 7, 2016
Beijing
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2016
Olympics
H Hard Β· Bronze
May 11, 2016
Rome
C Clay Β· Round of 32
Aug 27, 2015
New Haven
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Jan 21, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Emma Navarro
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jul 1
Beatriz Haddad Maia
LTA London Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Viktorija Golubic
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 25
Irina Camelia Begu
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 1st Round
May 6
Katie Volynets
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 23
Sofia Kenin
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 18
Varvara Gracheva
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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