Madison Keys vs Ons JabeurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇹🇳Ons Jabeur
Unranked · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
68wMadison Keys and Ons Jabeur have met 3 times since 2020; Ons Jabeur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Jabeur leads 2–0. Across all meetings Keys has taken 2 sets to Jabeur's 5. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Jabeur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Ons Jabeur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Jabeur 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Jabeur
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Ons Jabeur are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 3, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | - |
| ROI % | -24.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Maya Joint
Rothesay International - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Marketa Vondrousova
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · Quarterfinals
Jun 20
Jasmine Paolini
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Caroline Dolehide
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Magdalena Frech
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 27
Jasmine Paolini
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Moyuka Uchijima
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 25
Katerina Siniakova
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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