Madison Keys vs Misaki DoiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇯🇵Misaki Doi
Unranked · 35 yrs · Left-Handed
152wMadison Keys and Misaki Doi have met 4 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Linz in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 3–0. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 7 sets to Doi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Doi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Misaki Doi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Doi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Doi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 27, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 10, 2017
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 13, 2016
Linz
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 28
Petra Martic
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 26
Arianne Hartono
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka · 1st Round
Sep 12
Marta Kostyuk
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, JPN-UKR 1-3 · Rubber 1
Nov 11
Caty Mcnally
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole - Rouen · 2nd Round
Oct 19
Lucia Bronzetti
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole - Rouen · 1st Round
Oct 17
Qinwen Zheng
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 19
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Doi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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