Head-to-Head

Madison Keys vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

2–0

2 meetings · sets 4–0

🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler

#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

Madison Keys and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2026; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2026 on hard. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Keys	Kessler
Indicator	Madison Keys		Mccartney Kessler
Wins in straight sets	75%	24/32	67%	14/21
Wins a set when losing	53%	8/15	35%	8/23
Goes to a deciding set	34%	16/47	34%	15/44
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	59%	22/37	46%	11/24
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	38%	3/8	45%	9/20
Tiebreak sets won	45%	5/11	63%	10/16
Wins after taking set 1	83%	25/30	73%	16/22
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	80%	24/30	64%	14/22

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Kessler 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Kessler

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Madison Keys and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jun 25, 2026

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne

G Grass · Quarterfinals

Keys

Jan 6, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 2nd Round

Keys

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Keys	Kessler
Outcome	Madison Keys		Mccartney Kessler
1 or more	100%	18/18	82%	9/11
3 or more	72%	13/18	55%	6/11
5 or more	39%	7/18	27%	3/11
10 or more	17%	3/18	0%	0/11
15 or more	0%	0/18	0%	0/11
20 or more	0%	0/18	0%	0/11

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Keys	Kessler
W-L	13–5	4–7
Avg odds	1.43	2.40
ROI %	-5.3%	-45.3%
Units P/L	-0.95u	-4.98u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Keys	Kessler
Countries	2	2
Events	2	2
Matches	6	3
Distance	411 mi · 662 km	411 mi · 662 km
Route	CAN → POL	CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Kessler's 33%).

Opponent	Keys	Kessler
Liudmila Samsonova	L 63 46 46	W 76 61
Linda Noskova	L 46 67	L 75 36 46
Aryna Sabalenka	L 36 36	L 16 67
Oleksandra Oliynykova	W 76 61	W 60 60
Jessica Pegula	L 67 67	L 06 26
Karolina Pliskova	W 63 63	L 76 36 46
Diana Shnaider	L 36 63 06	L 67 16
Yuliia Starodubtseva	W 16 62 63	L 46 46
Peyton Stearns	W 46 64 62	W 60 36 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Keys

LWWWLWLL

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Aug 21

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

76³

Aug 20

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

Aug 18

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

Jul 28

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

6²7

Jul 6

Kessler

LLWLLWLW

Caty Mcnally

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

Aug 14

Anna Kalinskaya

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

76³

Aug 5

Cadence Brace

National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round

Aug 3

Renata Zarazua

The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round

Jul 29

Aryna Sabalenka

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

6⁹7

Jul 1

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

Jun 29

Madison Keys

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals

Jun 25

Anhelina Kalinina

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round

Jun 24

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KeysKeys ahead↓ Kessler

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches

Metric	Keys	Kessler
Matches won	68%	48%
Sets won	65%	49%
Games won	56%	49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Keys	Kessler
WTA 500	1	0
WTA 250	1	0

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Keys	Kessler
Hard	1	0
Grass	1	0

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Madison Keys vs Mccartney Kessler FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Keys rivalries

Madison Keys vs Mccartney Kessler FAQ

Who leads the Madison Keys vs Mccartney Kessler head-to-head?

Who won the last Madison Keys vs Mccartney Kessler match?

How many times have Madison Keys and Mccartney Kessler played?

When did Madison Keys and Mccartney Kessler last play each other?