Madison Keys vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
6wMadison Keys and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2026; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2026 on hard. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Kessler's 33%).
| Opponent | Keys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 75 36 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 16 67 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 76 61 | W 60 60 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 67 | L 06 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 76 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 63 06 | L 67 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 16 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | W 60 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 49% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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