Madison Keys vs Marie BouzkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Marie Bouzkova have met 2 times since 2020; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Bouzkova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at United Cup (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 21% | 11/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Bouzkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 7, 2020
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -15.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | — | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bouzkova's 60%).
| Opponent | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 61 67 57 | L 67 64 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 67 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 63 | W 76 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | L 62 46 67 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | W 75 75 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 61 36 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | W 75 60 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–52 matches
| Metric | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 58% |
| Sets won | 65% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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