Madison Keys vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#56 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech have met 2 times since 2021; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Betti Open - Berlin in 2021 on grass. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Frech's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 14, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | — | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Frech's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 61 46 | L 26 26 |
| Anna Bondar | W 57 64 76 | L 57 36 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 61 62 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 67 | L 63 36 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | W 63 46 76 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 76 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 61 | L 62 46 26 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | W 60 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 43% |
| Sets won | 65% | 46% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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