Madison Keys vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#37 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech have met 2 times since 2021; Madison Keys leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Betti Open - Berlin in 2021 on grass. Keys has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Frech's 0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 37% | 14/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 2, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 14, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 3.40 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.95u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Frech's 40%).
| Opponent | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W 61 62 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 67 | L 63 36 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 63 46 46 | W 63 46 76 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | L 76 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 61 | L 62 46 26 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 60 61 | W 60 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 61 46 | L 57 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 42% |
| Sets won | 65% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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