Madison Keys vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5w5 meetings · sets 9–3
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#77 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6Madison Keys and Magda Linette have met 5 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–1. On clay courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 9 sets to Linette's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 17% | 4/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 44% | 7/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 6, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 7, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 9, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -86.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -6.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Linette's 30%).
| Opponent | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | L 06 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 16 | L 46 06 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 06 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 75 | L 16 16 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 61 | W 61 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | W 57 64 76 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Sinja Kraus
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Francesca Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–50 matches
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 48% |
| Sets won | 65% | 43% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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