Madison Keys vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 9–3
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#78 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Magda Linette have met 5 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–1. On clay courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 9 sets to Linette's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 10% | 2/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 6, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 7, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 9, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -34.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -3.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Linette's 30%).
| Opponent | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | L 06 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 16 | L 46 06 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 61 62 | L 26 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 06 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 75 | L 16 16 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 61 | W 61 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | W 57 64 76 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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