Mackenzie McDonald and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Lexus Nottingham Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,638 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Mackenzie McDonald.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 33%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 57 46 46 | L 16 63 46 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 64 64 | L 06 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 36 | L 26 46 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 76 46 | W 63 63 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 75 76 | W 61 64 |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Merida
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 8
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Remy Bertola
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Jacob Fearnley
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Mariano Navone
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 16
Mar 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–57 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
