Mackenzie McDonald vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#146 · 31 yrs · R
44 meetings · sets 3–6
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wMackenzie McDonald and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 4 times since 2018; Roberto Bautista Agut leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Agut leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 3 sets to Agut's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Bautista Agut won at Bordeaux Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Bautista Agut 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 15, 2024
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 20, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both McDonald and Agut posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | W 57 63 75 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 06 | L 26 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 36 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 32% |
| Sets won | 48% | 36% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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