Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#146 · 31 yrs · R
43 meetings · sets 6–2
🇳🇴Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#149 · 19 yrs · R
Mackenzie McDonald and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 3 times since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2025 on hard. On grass courts McDonald leads 2–0. McDonald has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 6 sets to Kjaer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Nottingham 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 19% | 5/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 68% | 17/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Budkov Kjaer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Kjaer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
Both Mackenzie McDonald and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer are ⚙️ Grinder types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 654 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Nottingham 2 Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 2, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2025
Chengdu
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -58.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -5.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs McDonald's 33%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 46 57 | L 63 36 710 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | W 60 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Moez Echargui | W 62 75 | W 61 60 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 16 67 | W 76 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 36 62 75 | W 41 34 42 43 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 62 61 | W 67 62 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 67 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Bu Yunchaokete
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Andrea Pellegrino
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Matej Dodig
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Mackenzie McDonald
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–63 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 48% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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