Mackenzie McDonald vs Nick KyrgiosPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Nick Kyrgios have met 3 times since 2021; Nick Kyrgios leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kyrgios has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 4 sets to Kyrgios's 4. Their most recent meeting: Nick Kyrgios won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Kyrgios | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Nick Kyrgios | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Kyrgios 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Kyrgios
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nick Kyrgios.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 5, 2022
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 3, 2021
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -0.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both McDonald and Kyrgios posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 16 36 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 62 16 26 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Adam Walton
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Sho Shimabukuro
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 6
Karen Khachanov
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Jacob Fearnley
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane · Round of 32
Dec 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 25% |
| Sets won | 48% | 33% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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