Mackenzie McDonald vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Marco Trungelliti have met 2 times since 2021; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2021 on clay. McDonald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 4 sets to Trungelliti's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 48% | 30/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 53% | 18/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Trungelliti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Trungelliti
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2025
Athens
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | +0.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,160 mi · 8,304 km |
| Route | POR | POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both McDonald and Trungelliti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 46 | W 61 67 76 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 62 | W 64 46 64 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 57 46 | L 46 61 67 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 76 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Sean Cuenin
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–68 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 53% |
| Sets won | 43% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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