Luca Nardi vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2024; Luca Nardi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 2 sets to Sakamoto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 14/22 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 19/40 | 35% | 22/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nardi 1, Sakamoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 23, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nardi | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Nardi | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -0.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 1,061 mi · 1,708 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nardi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Sakamoto's 14%).
| Opponent | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Blanchet | W 64 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 62 | L 67 63 57 |
| Yibing Wu | L 57 64 46 26 | L 57 16 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 26 62 76 | L 67 46 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 63 63 | L 26 63 16 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 76 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 06 76 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Jurij Rodionov
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Ugo Blanchet
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Michael Mmoh
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Aidan Mayo
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–65 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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