Luca Nardi vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2024; Luca Nardi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 2 sets to Sakamoto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 13/20 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 17/37 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 8/22 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nardi 1, Sakamoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rei Sakamoto.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 23, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +3.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakamoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Nardi's 43%).
| Opponent | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 26 62 76 | W 63 75 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 57 63 46 | W 76 46 76 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 76 36 26 | W 64 67 64 36 64 |
| Federico Cina | L | W 67 63 62 |
| Ugo Blanchet | W 64 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 62 | L 67 63 57 |
| Yibing Wu | L 57 64 46 26 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–74 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 64% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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