Lorenzo Sonego vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Sonego
#91 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 0โ6
๐จ๐ญRoger Federer
Unranked
268wLorenzo Sonego and Roger Federer have met 2 times since 2019; Roger Federer leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2019 on clay. Federer has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 0 sets to Federer's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roger Federer won at Wimbledon (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
๐ค Servebot
Federer
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 16
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | - |
| ROI % | -18.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon ยท Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon ยท Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon ยท Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle ยท Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle ยท Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros ยท Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ43 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | - |
| Sets won | 46% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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