Lorenzo Sonego vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On grass courts Sonego leads 2–0. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 7 sets to Navone's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 1, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | +25.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.09u | +3.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 75 57 26 | W 64 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 64 64 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 64 64 67 76 | L 46 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 63 76 57 46 | L 16 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 67 | W 63 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 26 63 75 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 46 | W 76 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 75 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–64 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 58% |
| Sets won | 46% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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