Lorenzo Sonego vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Sonego
#91 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 7โ1

๐ฆ๐ทMariano Navone
#48 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Lorenzo Sonego and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Sonego leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On grass courts Sonego leads 2โ0. Sonego has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 7 sets to Navone's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 1, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
๐ค Servebot
Navone
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ8 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Sonego's 11%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | L 57 36 | L 36 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 67 | W 63 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 26 63 75 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 46 | W 76 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 75 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 36 | L 16 63 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 46 57 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | L 64 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ62 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 56% |
| Sets won | 46% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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