Liudmila Samsonova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk have met 2 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 1. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at China Open - Beijing (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 12/23 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 1, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +11.3% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.81u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samsonova's 40%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 62 46 16 | L 26 26 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 64 60 | W 46 63 75 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 61 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 36 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 57 26 | W 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 36 26 | W 63 26 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 62 16 61 |
| Ann Li | W 64 63 | W 60 67 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 67 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–49 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 78% |
| Sets won | 48% | 71% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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