Liudmila Samsonova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wLiudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 3–0. Samsonova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 6 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 14/24 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 21/44 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 13/28 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 1, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2026
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 4, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +20.9% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.35u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Samsonova's 50%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 76 62 | L 76 67 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 46 16 | L 26 26 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 64 60 | W 46 63 75 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 61 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 36 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 57 26 | W 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 36 26 | W 63 26 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 62 16 61 |
| Ann Li | W 64 63 | W 60 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–46 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 78% |
| Sets won | 50% | 72% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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