Leylah Fernandez vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#32 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ซ๐ทVarvara Gracheva
#148 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
24wLeylah Fernandez and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2024; Leylah Fernandez leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Gracheva
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Leylah Fernandez and Varvara Gracheva are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 23, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | - |
| ROI % | -8.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Gracheva's 29%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | W 61 64 | L 62 26 06 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 57 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | L 46 06 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 76 63 | W 75 16 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 23
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jan 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 16โ51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 38% |
| Sets won | 49% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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