Leylah Fernandez vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ซ๐ทVarvara Gracheva
#172 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
30wLeylah Fernandez and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2024; Leylah Fernandez leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Gracheva
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 23, 2024
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | - |
| ROI % | +32.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Gracheva's 43%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 61 46 36 | L 46 06 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 64 | L 62 26 06 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 64 46 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 57 26 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 76 63 | W 75 16 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 19โ58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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