Leylah Fernandez vs Rebecca MarinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇨🇦Rebecca Marino
#417 · 35 yrs · Right-Handed
4wLeylah Fernandez and Rebecca Marino have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Tampico - Tampico in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Marino's 2. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Rebecca Marino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Marino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Marino
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 27, 2022
Abierto Tampico - Tampico
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Rebecca Marino | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Fernandez and Marino posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 46 67 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Kylie Collins
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · Semifinals
Jul 11
Luciana Perry
W50 Columbus · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luciana Perry
Columbus ITF · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Audrey Spencer
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 50% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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