Leylah Fernandez vs Polona HercogPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Title2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇸🇮Polona Hercog
#224 · 35 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Polona Hercog have met 2 times since 2020; Leylah Fernandez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Fernandez leads 2–0. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Hercog's 1. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Serbia Ladies Open - Belgrade (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Hercog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Polona Hercog | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Hercog 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Hercog
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polona Hercog.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 17, 2021
Serbia Ladies Open - Belgrade
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Hercog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Polona Hercog | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -47.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | -3.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ESP → SRB → ECU → AUT |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Fernandez and Hercog posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | L 63 26 26 | L 36 76 46 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 61 75 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Alena Kovackova
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lisa Pigato
W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Naiktha Bains
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Ayana Akli
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 21
Julie Struplova
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 14
Moyuka Uchijima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Laura Pigossi
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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