Leylah Fernandez vs Polona HercogPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#32 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ธ๐ฎPolona Hercog
#233 ยท 35 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wLeylah Fernandez and Polona Hercog have met 2 times since 2020; Leylah Fernandez leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Fernandez leads 2โ0. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Hercog's 1. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Serbia Ladies Open - Belgrade (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Hercog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Polona Hercog | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 31% | 13/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 91% | 21/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Hercog 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Hercog
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 17, 2021
Serbia Ladies Open - Belgrade
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | 1โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | -54.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -1.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Fernandez and Hercog posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | L 63 26 26 | L 36 76 46 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 61 75 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 23
Laura Pigossi
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Dalila Jakupovic
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W75 Zagreb ยท Quarterfinals
May 15
Ayla Aksu
W75 Zagreb ยท Round of 16
May 14
Lucrezia Stefanini
W75 Zagreb ยท Round of 32
May 13
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W35 Platja d'Aro ยท Quarterfinals
May 8
Miriana Tona
W35 Platja d'Aro ยท 2nd Round
May 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 62% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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