Leylah Fernandez vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Liudmila Samsonova have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Fernandez leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 5 sets to Samsonova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Samsonova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
May 21, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fernandez and Samsonova posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 62 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 46 64 46 |
| Janice Tjen | L 16 67 | W 76 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | L 36 46 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 62 61 | W 63 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 63 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | L 36 64 67 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | L 36 67 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 62 75 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 44% |
| Sets won | 49% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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