Learner Tien vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈLearner Tien
#15 Β· 20 yrs Β· L
2 meetings Β· sets 5β0

π΅πΉNuno Borges
#41 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Learner Tien and Nuno Borges have met 2 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2β0. Tien has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tien has taken 5 sets to Borges's 0. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 Β· 5:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.73 or longer, Nuno Borges has won 11 of 46 matches, 24% against a fair-price expectation of 28%.
Priced around 1.44 or shorter, Learner Tien has won 40 of 54 matches, 74% against a fair-price expectation of 72%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Learner Tien and Nuno Borges meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tien | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Learner Tien | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 22/48 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 13/28 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 77% | 17/22 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tien 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tien
π₯ Big Hitter
Borges
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tien | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Learner Tien | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β5 | 14β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -14.6% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tien's 30%).
| Opponent | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 64 46 | L 46 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 63 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 46 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 57 46 | W 62 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 57 46 | L 16 64 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 26 | L 67 67 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 57 67 | L 36 63 36 |
| Marin Cilic | L 57 67 | L 63 67 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 67 76 | W 36 62 61 62 |
| Cristian Garin | W 60 26 60 62 | W 64 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 63β64 matches
| Metric | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 50% |
| Sets won | 61% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tien | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |