Kristina Mladenovic vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Kristina Mladenovic
#803 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
94 meetings · sets 3–7
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKristina Mladenovic and Madison Keys have met 4 times since 2015; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 3–1. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mladenovic has taken 3 sets to Keys's 7. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Beijing (2016).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mladenovic | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kristina Mladenovic | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 5/13 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 5/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mladenovic 0, Keys 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mladenovic
⚔️ The Gladiator
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 10, 2016
Olympics
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 7, 2015
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 30, 2015
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 5.75 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 2,133 mi · 3,432 km | — |
| Route | SGP → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mladenovic's 0%).
| Opponent | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | L 36 16 | W 76 64 |
| Fiona Ferro | L | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Costoulas
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Elvina Kalieva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tiphanie Lemaitre
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Valentina Ryser
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 16
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Oeiras Jamor Ladies Open - Oeiras · 1st Round
Apr 14
Carmen Andreea Herea
Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Europe/Africa · Rubber 1
Apr 9
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–50 matches
| Metric | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 15% | 68% |
| Sets won | 26% | 65% |
| Games won | 40% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mladenovic | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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