Kei Nishikori vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 5 sets to Tsitsipas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 2, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 5, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–46 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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