Head-to-Head

Kei Nishikori vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Kei Nishikori

Unranked

2–2

4 meetings · sets 5–4

🇬🇷Stefanos Tsitsipas

#43 · 28 yrs · R

Kei Nishikori and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 5 sets to Tsitsipas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
Indicator	Kei Nishikori		Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wins in straight sets	45%	5/11	75%	24/32
Wins a set when losing	40%	4/10	29%	5/17
Goes to a deciding set	48%	10/21	27%	13/49
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	42%	5/12	50%	17/34
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	56%	5/9	54%	7/13
Tiebreak sets won	40%	2/5	43%	12/28
Wins after taking set 1	82%	9/11	90%	28/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	45%	5/11	77%	24/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 2, Tsitsipas 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Nishikori

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Tsitsipas

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Oct 4, 2024

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

H Hard · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Tsitsipas

Aug 8, 2024

National Bank Open - Montreal

H Hard · 2nd Round

Nishikori

Mar 29, 2021

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

Tsitsipas

Oct 5, 2018

Tokyo

H Hard · Quarterfinals

Nishikori

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
Outcome	Kei Nishikori		Stefanos Tsitsipas
1 or more	67%	4/6	100%	21/21
3 or more	33%	2/6	95%	20/21
5 or more	17%	1/6	81%	17/21
10 or more	0%	0/6	24%	5/21
15 or more	0%	0/6	14%	3/21
20 or more	0%	0/6	0%	0/21

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
W-L	4–5	18–6
Avg odds	2.70	1.74
ROI %	-15.7%	+20.3%
Units P/L	-1.41u	+4.88u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
Countries	1	2
Events	1	2
Matches	1	6
Distance	0 mi · 0 km	1,092 mi · 1,758 km
Route	JPN	JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Nishikori

LLWWLWLL

Frances Tiafoe

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

Oct 1

Rei Sakamoto

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

6³7

Aug 28

Michael Antonius

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 27

Sebastian Ofner

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 25

Marco Trungelliti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 12

Francisco Comesana

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 11

Michael Zheng

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 1

Rafael Jodar

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

Jul 30

Tsitsipas

WWLWWWWW

Luciano Darderi

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

Oct 10

Kimmer Coppejans

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

Oct 8

Valentin Vacherot

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Oct 2

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

Oct 1

Rinky Hijikata

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 29

Yoshihito Nishioka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Alex Molcan

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4

Sep 20

Norbert Gombos

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2

76³

Sep 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Nishikorilevel↓ Tsitsipas

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–58 matches

Metric	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
Matches won	52%	62%
Sets won	50%	60%
Games won	50%	53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
ATP 500	1	0
ATP Masters 1000	1	2

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Nishikori	Tsitsipas
Hard	2	2

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Kei Nishikori vs Stefanos Tsitsipas FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 2–2 over 4 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

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Kei Nishikori vs Stefanos Tsitsipas FAQ

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