Keegan Rice vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Rice and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 1 time since 2026; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rice has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rice | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Rice | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 6/6 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rice 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rice | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Rice | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rice | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +27.3% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.91u | +4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rice | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–58 matches
| Metric | Rice | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rice | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rice | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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