Keegan Rice vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Rice and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2026; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rice has taken 1 sets to Noguchi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rice | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Rice | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 6/6 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rice 0, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rio Noguchi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rice | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Rice | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +27.3% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.91u | -5.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Rice and Noguchi posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 36 26 | L 46 46 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 62 26 75 | W 64 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–67 matches
| Metric | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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