Keegan Rice vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Rice and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2026; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rice has taken 1 sets to Noguchi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rice | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Rice | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 6/7 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rice 0, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Keegan Rice and Rio Noguchi are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rice | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Rice | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +56.5% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | -0.85u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Rice and Noguchi posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 36 26 | L 46 46 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 62 26 75 | W 64 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 31
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Alexander Rozin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–60 matches
| Metric | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rice | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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